Tuesday, October 1, 2019

“If You’re A Liberal, You’ve Got To Be Very Nervous”

So says pollster Nik Nanos, after a poll showing young people's support for Justin Trudeau dropping dramatically after his recent chat with Greta Thunberg during her visit to Canada.
Polling data from Nanos Research shows that the proportion of voters aged 18 to 29 who cite Trudeau as their preferred prime minister fell from nearly 35 per cent to a little more than 24 per cent within 24 hours.

The Liberal leader met with Thunberg on Friday while the prominent activist was in Montreal for a climate-change march that was attended by hundreds of thousands of people.

The 16-year-old Swede took Trudeau to task, telling him he wasn’t doing enough to fight climate change. Though that is her standard message for any world leader, Nanos said he still saw it as a risk for Trudeau to agree to the meeting.

The results seem to indicate a narrowing of the gap between Trudeau and Scheer (a climate-change denier in all but name), and a small uptick of support for the Green Party.
While those two parties appear to be battling to win the most seats on Oct. 21, another fight is underway further down in the polls.

The NDP are polling at 13.18 per cent and the Greens at 12.63 per cent, likely bringing the two parties into fierce competition.

“It’s like a double horse race … the horse race to win and the horse race to place third,” Nanos said.

The Greens have been hovering around 13 per cent for several days now – their highest level ever, and approximately double the support they were pulling during the early days of the campaign.

“The last week has been very good for the Green Party,” Nanos said.
While I am long past the stage of holding out much hope for our collective future, whatever sliver there is resides in the awakening consciousness of young people, who seem to see with a perspicacity denied to many who, blinded by ideology and past practices, keep voting the same way but hoping for different results.

And that, of course, is a mere variant of a famous definition:

8 comments:

  1. Sounds like wee Greta is political kryptonite. I did wonder how Team Trudeau must have debated the merits of their one-on-one. Some might have warned him to steer clear of a sit down photo-op.

    Andy sure as hell laid low but he really had no other choice. "Hi Greta, I'm Andy. I'm out to set fire to this planet."

    I have personally converted at least three to the Green side. They're all grandparents. It's incredibly easy to get them to see that this election has to be not for them, not for their traditional choice, but for their grandkids. That they can understand. There's no hard-sell involved. No need to disparage the Conservatives, the Liberals or the NDP. I've not heard anyone yet suggest that the Libs and NDP can be trusted with climate change, that they'll safeguard the future for our young. I expect they've been so immersed in political horse shit that they pick up the scent easily now.

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    1. That is good to hear, Mound. That people of a certain age have a a fairly long historical context to draw upon makes us better ale to separate the climate wheat from the chaff, methinks.

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  2. .. that Andrew Scheer just was blown out of the water as 'an insurance broker' changes things.. business career ? What business career ? As the so called 'leader' goes.. often so do candidates within the ridings.. The bigger issue for Scheer is having hitched his wagon to Donald Trump and the GOP and over the top evangelicals.. Don't think the Liberals will miss branding and lambasting Scheer et al with that .. and its easily verified, Harper did so, Kenney and Ford do so.. all pro GOP.. who in my view appear about to self combust in flames with Trump..

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    1. I hope you are right, Sal. Scheer is one of those people who, though he looks innocent enough, can inflict great damage if he fools enough people.

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  3. I'm not so sure that poll means anything - yet. What is his sample size for the 18 - 29 year old group? Plus, apparently, nobody gained by that Liberal-Trudeau loss. I guess we'll know better Oct.22nd.

    UU

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    1. I've been wrong in my political prognostications for some time now, UU, so I humbly await the results, but I do hope some leverage is gained by the Greens, given the lateness of the climate-change times.

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  4. .. Hope we can see up to 1/2 dozen Greens and two Indy's - That would be a huge start.. Can we get Dr Weaver from the BC provincials ? Just plug him in somehow, somewhere ?

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    1. It would be great to see those numbers, Sal, as validation that the message is getting across.

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