An Interesting But Not Surprising Correlation

 

With apologies to Eleanor Rigby: All the stupid people, where do they all come from?

Pollster Frank Graves may have found a partial answer.

Unvaccinated Canadians are about 12 times more likely than those who received three doses to believe Vladimir Putin’s invasion of Ukraine was justified, according to a new survey by national polling firm EKOS.

The poll found 26 per cent of those who identified as unvaccinated agreed the Russian invasion is justified, with another 35 per cent not offering an opinion. This compared to only two per cent of surveyed Canadians who said they had three doses of the COVID-19 vaccine and who supported the attack, and four per cent who offered no view.

Of those Canadians who received three doses of COVID-19 vaccine, the study found 82 per cent agreed with imposing tougher sanctions on Russia even if it meant higher fuel and food prices at home. Only 18 per cent of unvaccinated people concurred.

Eighty-five per cent of vaccinated people agree the country should take in Ukrainian refugees versus 30 per cent of unvaccinated Canadians.

 While 88 per cent of vaccinated Canadians agree Russia is committing war crimes during the widely condemned invasion, 32 per cent of unvaccinated people do.

Why the great disparity? The unvaccinated are apparently drinking from the same disinformation wells. Susan Delacourt writes that 

the same forces that were feeding people rubbish about vaccine mandates during the Ottawa occupation in February are now feeding them nonsense in March about Russia and Ukraine.

Graves is still working on tracking the sources of disinformation, but he cites YouTube as one of the big culprits so far.

A Phd in political science, Kate Graham, was doing some door-to-door canvassing in London, Ontario around the same time the poll was being conducted. Here is what she found.

Knocked on a door today. Person asked my thoughts on Ukraine. I expressed my horror at what is happening. Response? “Oh, you don’t know then. It’s all fake.” Went on to talk about lots of other issues: convoys, Trudeau, media. “CBC is the biggest terrorist going.”

  I asked where this person gets their information.

“The internet. TikTok. Joe Rogan.” What struck me about the discussion was how genuinely fearful the person seemed. They have kids. Had tears in eyes when talking about future of our country. Overwhelmed and afraid.

What is to be learned from all of this? In my view, as I was telling my wife last night at supper when talking about how continued masking may lead to confrontations with some, it is that our species is still in its infancy. When even the most common and least intrusive disease-prevention measures become a source of baffling tantrums, one knows one is not dealing with an evolved, mature life form.

Susan Delacourt puts it another way:

... conspiracy theories don’t just go away anymore; nor do they continue to exist on the fringe. Like the COVID virus, they’ve developed a remarkable ability to mutate — or “pivot,” in Graves’ words. While many of us see the pandemic and the war in Ukraine as separate, albeit world-shaking crises, the disinformation machine has managed to connect them.

 

 

Sometimes I Am In Awe

As bad as the world is these days, there are people in it that prevent us from complete despair. Maina Ovsyannikova is one such person. You will recall she risked the almost certain wrath of Vladimir Putin by holding up a sign on the Russian state broadcaster decrying the war in Ukraine. 

Although thus far Ovsyannikova has only received a fine, I have every expectation that in a country that threatens to send its citizens away for long periods of time for merely protesting the war in the streets, she will face much harsher punishment when the publicity around her brave deed dies down.  

“The war was the point of no return, when it was simply impossible to stay silent,” says Marina Ovsyannikova, after she protested Russia’s war in Ukraine live on Russian state TV. “I was afraid until the last minute that I won’t be able to do it.”

On Risk Calculation

Is Putin insane, or does he just want everyone to think he is? The world can't afford to get the answer wrong.

H/t Michael De Adder

A Short Follow-Up

As a follow-up to yesterday's post about the many bribes Doug Ford is offering voters to win their support in June, here are two letters that offer interesting perspectives:

Ontario drivers to save $120 per year through Premier Doug Ford’s cancelling of licence renewal fees — but it will cost Ontarians about $1 billion worth of services. Tolls are to be eliminated on Highways 412 and 418 — offering savings to drivers in Durham Region.

Now, nurses are being offered $5,000 as a “retention” bonus — but still face wage caps under Bill 124.

As a senior I am asking you, Premier Ford, what pre-election goodies are you offering to buy my vote this June?

Norah Downey, Midland, Ont.

 Ford offers nurses ‘retention’ bonus, Mar. 8

Once again, Doug Ford continues his method of governing: too much too late. I am neither an economist, nor a financial expert. I retired from a medical business, where I employed 20 folks, who, at the time I left, had worked with us for eight and a half years, an astounding rate of employee retention for our field.

In part, this was due to higher-than-average wages for our industry, along with generous vacation periods, and automatic sick pay.

With the nurses, wouldn’t it be much more prudent to increase their wages, rather than throwing money at the situation, after which the nurses might leave, in any case?

Mel Tonken, Toronto

The question remaining to be answered is how many voters will Ford have been able to corrupt by June 2, our election day?

Counting The Ways

 

How much does Doug Ford covet Ontarian's votes? Let me count the ways.

In the run-up to this June's provincial election, the premier is sparing no expense (while at the same time eliminating huge amounts of revenue) to buy at least enough votes to ensure a return of his government. 

Democracy, for all of its vaunted benefits, can be ugly.

As I noted in a post last month, Mr. Ford is already spending over $1 billion in forgone revenue in his avid pursuit of our support. He assumes that the surrendering of these funds by eliminating licence plate sticker renewals and toll road fees will be pleasing to many; of course, no one has explained how that treasury gap will be filled, but my guess is, post-election, through 'fiscal discipline,' i.e., cuts.

But the blandishments don't end there. Through Monte McNaughton, Minister of  Labour, Training and Skills Development, the Ford government has become the friend of the worker. Many of the measures announced thus far have been long overdue, such as the January minimum wage raise to $15 dollars an hour, a previous Liberal government measure Ford scrapped after coming to office in 2018. Another is the Digital Platform Workers' Rights Act which, on the surface, looks progressive. The Act says it

will guarantee a regular minimum wage for individuals employed by app-based services, such as ride-share drivers and couriers, which they will receive on top of their tips. It also makes it mandatory for workers to receive a recurring pay period and pay day while prohibiting tips from being withheld by platform operators.

“Every worker in the province deserves to earn at least minimum wage, and these companies have a responsibility—and they're going to be forced by law—to clearly tell workers on digital platforms how and when they're going to be paid.”

But as the saying goes, the devil is in the details, and Armine Yalnizyan smells sulphur, concluding it  

is actually anti-worker legislation. It denies basic worker protections to gig workers by creating a second tier of labour rights for the people whose employer says they are independent contractors, regardless of what employees say. That ensures these workers are unlikely to be paid minimum wage, get overtime, vacation or severance pay, be covered by occupational health and safety rules, or be able to organize for better.

The reason this legislation is actually regressive and will hurt gig workers lies in the fact that a decision recently handed down stated that 

an Uber Eats driver is already an “employee” under the Ontario Employment Standards Act.

Law professor David Dorey says that 

the finding of “employee” status led to an order for Uber to pay the courier close to $1000 for various violations of the ESA, including a failure to pay the minimum wage for all hours that the courier was “waiting or holding himself ready to work”. 

As I understand the proposed new Ontario law, only “engaged” time is counted as working, meaning the time that a driver is actively completing an order. As a result, an Uber Eats driver … would be entitled to less wages under the government’s new law than they are already entitled to under the existing ESA. 

Lest health-care providers feel left out of this 'largesse', Mr. Ford has something for them as well, not an increase in salary, but $5000 retention bonuses for nurses. An obvious bribe, it will be paid in two installments, one before and one after the election.

As well, and no doubt important for all those who "love freedom," is the pending elimination of all Covid-19 restrictions in Ontario. But at least our chief Medical officer, Dr. Kieran Moore, is asking people to be kind to those who still want to wear masks.

And I suspect that the final tier on the 'inducement' cake Ford is baking for his voters will come soon: the announcement of a deal with the federal government for $10-a-day daycare funding. Up to this point, the province has insisted it needs more than the $10.2 billion on offer, but I rather think that will not be an obstacle for too much longer, given the proximity of our election.

As always, a healthy democracy depends upon an informed electorate and viable choices; Ford is likely (and probably rightly) counting on a high level of ignorance, something that is increasingly becoming the norm. And given the unpalatable and largely unprincipled nature of the two main opposition parties in our province, we are effectively offered little to whet either our imaginations or our enthusiasms.

 

The Next Time We Complain About High Gas Prices

While I have no doubt that a great deal of oil-company profiteering is taking place these days, we really do need to put our complaints into perspective:

Heartbreaking photo by

@lynseyaddario @nytimes

all the world should see. 'Ukrainian soldiers trying to save the father of a family of four — the only one at that moment who still had a pulse — moments after being hit by a mortar while trying to flee Irpin'

Change-Of-Pace Friday: A Teachable Moment

Given all of the strife and anguished suffering of today's world, it really is necessary for our health just to sit back and have an occasional good laugh. I hope the following proves therapeutic for you.

Be sure to watch till the end: