So Many Questions

 

I have avoided posting anything thus far about Mr. Carney's economic summit and his trip to Europe in which Canada has been offered "associate membership" in the European Union. The main reason is I am still reading about and digesting these developments. However, one large, billowing red flag is the prime minister's intention to sell long-term concessions (think Ontario's privatized Hwy 407) in four major major airports (Montreal, Toronto, Calgary and Vancouver). Its putative purpose is to raise capital for improvements at other, smaller airports,  

This decision has nothing to do with asset development and everything to do with enriching the rentier class. In our rush to escape the slimy tentacles of Trump and his disciples, we may be giving far too easy a ride to schemes such as this, but the threat is not going unnoticed.

The following letters to the editor raise some very valid concerns:

Look what happened when they privatized Highway 407

Carney government will allow private investments in Canadian airports, Sept. 15

As much as I like Prime Minister Mark Carney’s approach in welcoming foreign investment, losing control of our airports really scares me. Just look at what happened to the privatization of Highway 407. That was a huge mistake and one I personally can’t forgive.

Norbert Hibbeln, Oshawa, ON

How to keep Canadian ownership and control 

Instead of selling off another asset to investors, I would suggest the following: Establish a direct link between Toronto Pearson International Airport and John C. Munro International Airport in Hamilton. Busses to start and a rail link to follow. Think the UP Express. Designate Pearson as the main international hub and Hamilton the main domestic hub. Pearson could be 70 per cent international and 30 per cent domestic flights with Hamilton 70 per cent domestic and 30 per cent international. Offer discounts on landing fees to airlines willing to use John C. Munro over Pearson.

This solution would reduce congestion at Pearson and make better use of an already existing but under utilized asset in Hamilton. It would also ensure that Pearson remains under Canadian ownership and control.

Peter Smith, Ajax, ON 

Question for the PM: Who is supposed to get rich here? 

When it comes to the privitization of public assets, the only real question I have for Prime Minister Mark Carney is “who is supposed to get rich here?” Or should I say richer?

John Gavin, Toronto

So, Canada is for sale?

When U.S. President Donald Trump wanted to “buy” Canada by declaring Canada as the 51st state of the U.S., there was outrage across Canada.

Now “Canada for Sale” is being considered by Canada itself, and its starting with the sale of Canadian airports. After airports, what comes next? Trump will be first buyer in line with top bid. Let us see what happens next after we sell off Canadian airports.

Qasim Abbas, Mississauga, ON

Then there is this Globe and Mail missive from a former airport authority chairman:

Ain’t broke

Re “Ottawa to announce steps toward opening up airports to more private investment, sources say” (Sept. 15): I believe any rationale for airport privatization falls short when weighed against the financial successes and positive economic impact of Canada’s not-for-profit, community-based airport authorities.

Under the 1990s National Airports Policy, about 20-plus major and regional airports were transferred to local arm’s-length authorities. Since then, these organizations have financed tens of billions of dollars in improvements through landing fees, concessions and airport improvement fees.

Local governance allows airports to respond to regional needs with boards that include business leaders, municipal representatives and labour voices. Why sell strategic assets, possibly to foreign investors, when they already generate stable public revenue and community benefits?

Privatizing airports would shift priorities from regional development to shareholder returns. A fragmented hybrid system, with some airports community-run and others privately owned, would weaken co-ordination, partnerships and the seamless airport connectivity Canadians rely on.

Mark Carney should abort this harrowing flight before it leaves the runway.

Gerry Gallant Former chairman, Charlottetown Airport Authority; Souris West, PEI

Transportation Minister Steve McKinnon is going out of his way to reassure Canadians about this development, saying that Ottawa will protect consumers from "unjustified price increases" The devil is in the details, of course, and I seem to remember similar assurances about reasonable tolls on the 407 when that was sold off by the Mike harris government in a 99-year lease. Today, it has, I believe, the highest tolls in North America.

Trust, but verify, as the saying goes. That can only happen if and when Canadians doff their rose-tinted glasses and begin to examine Mr. Carney's moves in the harsh light of day.

Sometimes, A Cudgel Is Needed

Some will probably find the lack of subtlety in the following anti-racism short from France disappointing, but it is this kind of bluntness that might penetrate some racists' heads. 

Guest Post: AI And The Precautionary Principle

The headlines have been alarming indeed, essentially warning that unrestricted ongoing development of AI has a 10% chance of destroying all of us by the end of this decade. The Mound of sound offers his thoughts on this this:

Oh, damn! The United States has not recognized the "precautionary principle." If the AI warnings are right, we may all pay dearly for that lapse. In fact we, all of us, might need the protection of the precautionary principle more than we do at this moment.

What is the precautionary principle? It's not new and has been stated and restated in slightly different ways but the Wiki summary of it will suffice for this discussion.

"The precautionary principle or precautionary approach states if an action or policy has a suspected risk of causing harm to the public or to the environment, in the absence of scientific consensus that the action or policy is harmful, the burden of proof that it is not harmful falls on those taking the action.

"This principle allows policy makers to make discretionary decisions in situations where there is the possibility of harm from taking a particular course or making a certain decision when extensive scientific knowledge on the matter is lacking. The principle implies that there is a social responsibility to protect the public from exposure to harm, when scientific investigation has found a plausible risk. These protections can be relaxed only if further scientific findings emerge that provide sound evidence that no harm will result."

Better late than never the precautionary principle has been recognized as the law of the land in Canada in both the Federal Court of Canada and the Supreme Court of Canada.

In 2015, the Federal Court of Canada upheld the precautionary principle as part of the substantive law of our country. The Supreme Court of Canada has also applied the precautionary principle.

Can there be a peril more urgent than runaway artificial intelligence? The best and the brightest in that field from both academia and industry are warning that it could escape human control and actually turn on mankind. We've been warned by people like Geoffrey Hinton who was awarded the Nobel Prize for his work on artificial intelligence. He's the AI Nobel laureate. He admits the state of artificial intelligence today terrifies him.

And if you don't think societies will ignore existential risks read Jared Diamond's excellent book "Collapse: How Societies Choose to Fail or Succeed." Put it this way, this is not our first existential rodeo, although there's a possibility it could become our last.

Guest Post From The Mound Of Sound -The Implications Of Global Debt

 

It's my pleasure to present another guest post from The Mound of Sound. I miss his blog because he often wrote of things I hadn't thought of. Global debt is one of those things:

You think you've got problems. The US debt clock just passed $40 trillion. That's a per capita debt of $114,285. Every man, woman and child and the clock is ticking.

But let's not stop there. The global debt stands at $350 trillion. Per capita that's a more manageable $43,750 although a fair percentage of those people are impoverished. Taken collectively the total debt represents 305% of global gross domestic product.

We're embarking on a very difficult time from the ravages of climate breakdown to water shortages, food insecurity, on and on and on.

What if we agreed that this is no time to be carrying 305% of GDP in debt. This is where we need to become a little creative.

I invoke the ghostly spirit of Solon. Sol who? Solon was an Athenian lawmaker. In 594 BCE, Athens had a nightmarish debt crisis. The lower orders were defaulting on their debts. Debtors and their families were being slung into prisons, some sold into slavery. Their creditors, the merchants, were in their own predicament. Too many of their traditional customers were in jail. You can't sell stuff to a guy in jail.

Solon's solution was a purge to cancel debt. "Seisachtheia (meaning "shaking off of burdens"), a revolutionary debt relief reform that canceled all debts, banned loans secured by personal freedom, and freed citizens enslaved due to debt."

I realize I'm digging pretty deep into the past on this yet this crippling measure of debt with the challenges that we cannot avoid could make paupers of all of us if we don't see the unmanageable debt as the threat.

Humanity is coming in for a crash landing. Now we must decide if it will be survivable

What Is A Proud Canadian?

 

Of late, I have been thinking about Canadian pride and patriotism, and how it is so different from the shallow, reflexive and exaggerated displays the Americans are so fond of. Instead of being loud and brash, we express our loyalty to our country in quiet yet assertive ways. Many of us, for example, shun travel to the benighted land south of us; we go out of our way to minimize the purchase of American produce and products whenever possible; buying Canadian has become the default position of many consumers.

There are those who say our identity is largely defined as not being American. And to that there are elements of truth, especially in these times when American values and culture have degenerated into a kind of Bizzaro World state, where cruelty and the denigration of others, where the attack on former friends and allies, reign supreme. All of that has led us to think more about what is important to us, and we've rediscovered something important: we are steadfast in the conviction of our values, values that embrace the collective over the individual, where kindness and compassion remain strengths, not weaknesses to be exploited, where common decency remain defining characteristics. Indeed, they have become more important than ever.

Mark Carney's Labour Day message exemplifies some of those values:

As mentioned, our way has traditionally been a quiet way, at least up till now. The relentless attacks on our character, on our very nationhood, are wearing us down to the point we are speaking up loudly when insulted, no longer willing to play a passive role in defence of our country. 

Many say, and to an extent I agree, that we should not take the bait of American provocation. Consider Doug Ford's recent comments that Trump could "kiss my ass." Personally, there was some satisfaction in hearing that, even though such a truculent and crass display of umbrage likely sinks to a Trumpioan level of insult we would be better to avoid.

But I admit that my pride as a Canadian is often deeply offended by American insult and condescension. They go out of their way to belittle us in ways that demand a reaction. Consider this recent interview of Scott Bessent by Lara Trump:

I rather liked this AI-generated response:

I will not bother talking about the juvenile, crass posts by Pete Hegseth who, with each foray into social media, proves he is not a real man at all. Nor will I deign to discuss Howard Lutnick, an especially vile mouthpiece of the Trump administration. It is sufficient, perhaps, to dismiss all of them as agents provocateurs of their deranged master.

So on this Labour Day I reflect on the things that make me Canadian, and I am proud. The day itself demonstrates many of the reasons for that pride. And for me, and I hope many other Canadians, that is a sufficient balm for the times we find ourselves living in.

No Indication Of Change

In my previous post, I discussed a myriad of incompencies and corruptions within the Doug Ford government in Ontario,  expressing the hope that the three byelections would convey a message of discontent. Unfortunately, with a turnout of about 25%, (having them at the end of summer was no accident, I am sure) the status quo was maintained.

With a provincial general election in the relatively distant future, we can be sure Ford and his ilk will view these results with pleasure, emboldening them to ever greater heights of ineptitude and backroom deals. Therefore, it becomes incumbent upon those who are able to remind people that this is a government with a rather abject contempt for democracy as we know it, not to mention egregious hypocrisy. Some letters to the editor serve that function.

Doug Ford calls Donald Trump a ‘loser’ now, but he was a fan not so long ago, Aug. 29

I’d like to thank Robert Benzie for reminding us that Ontario Premier Doug Ford was caught on a hot microphone indicating that he had favoured U.S. President Donald Trump to win the 2024 presidential election. I guess his support for the Republican ticket in 2020 is more defensible, as Trump wasn’t a fully known quantity yet. But Ford’s continued support in advance of the 2024 election is much harder to understand. By that time, Trump was already a convicted felon and had lost a civil lawsuit to a woman who’d accused him of sexual abuse.

When Ford’s presidential preference became known, more journalists in Canada should have been asking tough questions about his support for a man who had already been exposed as a lawbreaker and miscreant. His answers might have revealed something important about Ford’s character and helped inform Ontario voters in the 2025 provincial election.

John Connolley, Aurora, Ont.

Ford and Trump are cut from the same cloth. Both are bullies; both make uninformed, reactionary decisions; both like to put down journalists; and both enjoy bloviating. Ford’s words in defence of Canada may sound good, but let’s not forget his actions. For one thing, the premier keeps giving tax dollars to companies based in the United States. The best current example is the $750 that Ontario teachers will receive to purchase school supplies, which they will have to spend at Staples, an American corporation. When I was teaching, I mostly bought my supplies at Dollarama, a great Canadian company. It was also much more cost-effective. Go figure.

Astrid Budd, Toronto

Ford is and always has been a Trump clone, whose policies have proved time and time again to be just as destructive and foolhardy as the U.S. president’s.

Sophie Tanel, Vaughan, Ont.

That Ford was an ardent Trump supporter is embarrassment overshadowed only by the fact that so many Ontarians voted for him, twice, despite his clearly being a bad judge of character. Hopefully this huge red flag will be waved — in addition to the Maple Leaf — at the next provincial election.

Julia Bowkun, Toronto

Hopefully, as the years wind down on Ford's mandate, more people will begin thinking for themselves and realize a drastic change is necessary.

A Change Is Needed

As the dog days of summer wind down, there are many pleasures to look forward to as autumn beckons - fall fairs (if you like that sort of thing), cooler temperatures, a return to the halls of learning for many, the sense of new beginnings for many, and conversely, a resumption of familiar routines for others. 

What won't be happening anytime soon is the return of the Ontario legislature, now on a protracted holiday until the end of October, essentially a five-month hiatus - a hiatus that has provided the Ford team freedom from the opposition's relentless questions, questions that highlight its egregious corruption and ineptitude.  

And that fact tells you a great deal about Doug Ford's government. Content to regularly don his Captain Canada uniform, the premier undoubtedly hopes that the province will be awed by his superpower of getting under Donald Trump's skin; consequently, they will not notice he and his government are acting in an authoritarian, undemocratic manner, much like his putative foe, representing a myriad of interests that do nothing to help address the needs of the average citizen. I have written about this previously.

Today will see voting in three byelections. Will Ford's patriotic persona carry the day? People need to remember a few things before casting their ballots.

There is, for example, his unhealthy interest in Toronto. Not only did he unilaterally impose a much smaller council on that city, he is now in the process of  dismantling bike lanes on several key routes in the city, routes that had been decided upon some years ago by local government. And while it is true that municipalities are a creature of the province, most premiers do not act as super-mayors in thwarting local democracy.

In the City of Hamilton, Ford recently, through the Ontario Land Tribunal, expanded its boundary by 1300 hectares,  a move that benefits only one class of citizen - land developers. Many also see this as a stealth-move to circumvent his thwarted Greenbelt expansion:

In 2022, the provincial government ordered Hamilton to expand its urban boundary by 2,200 hectares. It also released plans to remove 7,400 acres in 15 different areas from the province's Greenbelt, including in Hamilton.

Reports from the auditor general and integrity commissioner found that the process to select lands was rushed and favoured certain developers.

Premier Doug Ford reversed course on both matters after heated public outcry. The RCMP continues to investigate the Greenbelt matter.

Then there are the countless ads from the Ontario government, propaganda paid for by its taxpayers, telling us all the great things the province is doing to protect us. Their 'accomplishments' range from more police, stricter bail, a back-to-basics school curriculum to, best of all, no tax increases! Surely we shouldn't begrudge the costs involved. 

But if we care to ask, what is the true cost of no new taxes? Well, homeowners will know that they are paying ever-increasing property taxes to deal with problems that should be the purview of upper levels of government, homelessness being the most obvious and pressing problem. 

Then there are the problems evident in healthcare: many without family doctors, long wait times for various surgeries, shortages of nurses and doctors, etc. 

In education, the erosion of the grant system for post-secondary education is causing many to consider forgoing it.

In public education, a myriad of problems from classroom sizes, a dearth of educational assistants to meet the needs of a diversity of students, and contract issues are evident.

Doug Ford, however, likes to gloss over those problems with big, big ideas, like single-sourced developments on the Toronto waterfront, the closing of the very popular Science Centre, creating tunnels to relieve highway congestion on the 401, etc.

It has been said a sucker is born every minute. Clearly, it is to that demographic Ford and his allies are playing. Let's hope that few of them turn out for today's byelections.

A Word From A Familiar Voice

Those of you who are long-time readers of blogs will remember The Mound of Sound. The Mound wrote prodigiously and deeply, offering keen analyses of world and national issues. The Mound retired his blog some years back, but I was delighted to hear from him in. a recent comment on my blog.

In case you missed it, here are the Mound's thoughts on the current American political system:

To change the subject ever so slightly I've been trying to make sense of the Democrats' glee over the upcoming mid-terms. It strikes me that their "wildest dreams" outcome will ensure almost nothing that the United States so urgently needs as time runs out. I sent the following missive to 3 American friends urging them to really ponder what's at stake.

I keep returning to America's system of checks & balances as the key to restoring democracy to the United States.

Frankly, no matter what happens in the November mid-term elections, if you cannot or will not rehabilitate the notion of 3 co-equal branches of government, America is screwed.

This has been building for almost half a century. Trump took a constitutionally enfeebled government and crushed the remnants of democracy in America.


Understand this. The notion of 3, co-equal branches of government - the legislature, the judiciary and the executive (the presidency) - was not some sort of afterthought.

These are embodied in the first 3 articles of the US Constitution, Thomas Jefferson's Constitution. They're not amendments to be squabbled over. They are the heart and soul of America's constitutional firmament. Without them you eventually wind up with thugs like Donald Trump and he won't be the last.

The legislative branch is working against you. The judiciary is working against you. The presidency is working against you. So there, what are you going to do about it?

Your kids' future has already been indentured. A $40 trillion and growing federal debt will see to that.

Even the RAND Corporation ran the numbers and concluded that in the half century since the Reagan era, 79 trillion dollars of wealth has been siphoned out of your pocket - whether you're blue or white collar - and into the pockets of today's oligarchs - Musk, Bezos, Theil etc., etc.

Nobel laureate economist Joe Stiglitz has shown that today's worsening inequality is neither merit nor market-based. It is almost entirely a legislated outcome by politicians who work not for the country, not for the American people, but for America's emerging oligarchy.
Study after study confirm that America is no longer a democracy, a democratic republic. It's now downgraded to an electoral oligarchy. You still get to vote - for now - but that vote carries increasingly less political clout. American democracy now has a shelf-life measured in days.
Now they're getting bolder. They're putting the military out onto American streets. They've created a secret police that spirits people, some of them American citizens, away to hell hole prisons in Central America.

This all comes back to those first three articles of the Constitution of the United States of America. The same fellow who wrote that Constitution warned you this day would come. It has. It's here.

 

Grampa Had Another Episode

While I find myself repeatedly incredulous over the ongoing Looney Toons Show running in the White House, I see this latest episode as transitioning into absolute absurdity. And what is even more absurd is the fact that this kind of madness is greeted with seriousness by the press. No one is willing to say that Gramps has had yet another episode in his descent into full-blown dementia.

However, Canadian exemplar Charlie Angus has quite another take on it, underscoring its sinister implications. See what you think.

UPDATED:And Now, For Something Completely Different

Well, actually it's not, but given the rising levels of absurdity currently circulating, I couldn't help but think of Monty Python. Here in Ontario we have Doug Ford (a faux Captain Canada, the real one residing in the office of the Manitoba premier) inviting Trump to do an osculatory exploration of his posterior, an image none of us of sound mind really want to contemplate.

Taunting rhetoric aside, my friend Cam sent me the following, which I think does justice to the times we are now living through: an acerbic assessment of Trump and his coterie by Jonathan Pie:

Oh, and another thing I just received from Cam. The English teacher in me says this is a very special lady who would have been a great teacher of those not able to be placed in mainstream classes, i.e., Trump's MAGATS;

UPDATE: Amen

Vassal Statehood Averted

A vassal state is a nation that, while often appearing to be independent, has its sovereignty and decision-making powers significantly constrained and dictated by a more powerful state. Its ability to act autonomously, particularly in areas like foreign policy, defense, or economic affairs, is limited to what the dominant power permits or grants.

I woke up yesterday morning with the news that the trade deal Canada had been negotiating with the U.S. was off. I was massively relieved, finally finding a peace of mind that had eluded me for days. Subsequently, I followed the media throughout the day.

Watching TV and reading online papers, it became clear that the Trump administration made last-minute demands that would have been complete folly to acquiesce in. The deal Canada was prepared to sign was bad enough.

As my previous post indicated, I had a very bad feeling about the deal that was close to being signed. Apparently, it included all the things I had written about, with one inaccuracy. In yesterday's strong, statesman-like address,  Prime Minister Carney answered a large number of press questions, one of which led me to stand corrected: my assertion that the very bad deal they were about to sign gave the Americans almost exclusive access to our critical minerals. Taking Carney at his word, he said that wasn't true, that he would never have gone for that.

So what saved us from that deal and led to this retaliatory trade war in which Canada can hold its head high? Apparently, Howard Lutnick suddenly appeared, making the demands that led to Canada walking out. We owe that malign influence a huge debt of gratitude, as Adam Radwanski writies:

[Lutnick] did Canada a service by reminding Mark Carney and his negotiators who they were dealing with — and saving us from a bad deal that probably would’ve only looked worse down the road.

The deal narrowly averted appears to have essentially ensconced in perpetuity tariffs on a myriad of our goods, Had it been signed, it would have been a slippery slope to the bottom.

Trump appeared to have successfully moved the goalposts with his threat of new 50 per cent tariffs on a range of products, leaving Canada so determined to avoid those that it was willing to live with less relief from his existing tariffs than it had previously demanded. Modest cuts to the levies on our automotive and steel exports, among others, would have locked in rates still too high for those industries to be viable in the long run.

Meanwhile, Canada would’ve had to give up what leverage it had, including both counter-tariffs and the provincial bans on U.S. booze that have gotten under Trump’s skin. Plus, we appeared poised to scrap Buy Canadian procurement policies, giving U.S. companies relatively unfettered access to government contracts here, even as Canadian access to the U.S. market remained restricted.

Apparently the pending deal was so bad that Ontario's Doug Ford called Carney on Wednesday urging him not to sign.

“I thought it was a terrible deal and I was very clear with the Prime Minister, once you make these deals they can last for years and years and go into decades.”

Campbell Clark provides additional details on what the foul triumvirate of Trump, Greer and Lutinick demanded at the last minute, clearly sensing Canada's weakness and therefore going for the kill. 

U.S. negotiators declared that the lower tariff rate on cars wouldn’t apply to Canadian trucks, he [Mr. Carney] said. They wanted language that would restrict Canada’s ability to strike new trade deals with other countries, he said. And they pushed for Canada to give up some protections for culture and the French language, he said, including labelling on products. 

That’s hardly the kind of package that Mr. Carney could sell back home. It would be insane to hand the trade bully more power to shake us down by allowing them to dictate the terms of Canada’s trade with other countries. It’s hard to imagine a more poisonous pill than making a deal with the U.S. that suggests the French language be taken off labels, especially when it is six weeks before a Quebec election.

Justin Ling says in the aftermath of this attempted  shakedown, things are much clearer for everyone.

We know now, with no ambiguity, that Trump does not want efficient supply chains, nor mutually beneficial co-operation.

Donald Trump believes he can fuel America’s economy by stealing his supposed allies’ industries. He is skulking around the parking lot, siphoning gas from empty cars. 

In walking away, we have preserved our ability to fight back and go elsewhere.

Even though there will be a hard economic toll from these tariffs and counter-tariffs, I believe Canada is in a much stronger position than it was on Friday. We have finally established that despite the series of unrequited concessions we gave up to this point, we have reached the breaking point, and, as Carney put it, anything the Americans sign is written in pencil.  

Oh, and one other thing. As the Prime Minister pointed out, 

“Canada fuels American growth, supplying 99 percent of their natural gas imports, 85 percent of their electricity imports, 60 percent of their crude oil imports,” Carney said. “I don’t think they want us to stop sending any of that energy.”

Not a bad trump card to keep in one's pocket, eh? 

 

 

A Bad Deal Is Better Than No Deal?

Honestly, I had resolved not to write another post about the pending surrender trade 'deal' between the U.S. and Canada until I knew the full dimensions of the capitulation. What prompts me now is the stunning revelation that, while Carney has asked (almost begged, according to Manitoba's Wab Kinew) the provinces to put American alcohol back on their shelves, said premiers know little about the deal.

Ottawa continued to keep most stakeholders and premiers in the dark on specific numbers, tariff rates, potential exemptions, and other Canadian concessions that are on the table.

Carney similarly withheld details from his caucus, one Liberal MP saying

that “minimal information” was shared, given the ongoing nature of the talks. 

The Globe and Mail reports that Carney

has not shared the proposed pact’s details with the public and six sources across Canadian industry and government said the Prime Minister has also mostly left them in the dark, just a day before the deal is set to be closed.

These are major red flags, warning all of us that the hoisting of the white flag is imminent.

Sadly, the Carney government seems to be in the grips of a massive, naive delusion: that a deal, no matter how bad, will pave the way to CUSMA renegotiations.

More important, the Carney government sees the proposed deal on the table as securing a “pathway” or agreement by the Trump administration to engage in a renegotiation of the Canada-United States-Mexico Agreement (CUSMA), and acknowledgment that CUSMA is in the economic interest of all three parties, weeks after Trump said his country didn’t need CUSMA and might do only side deals.

Additionally, the emerging media narrative is that imposing the new 50% tariffs on a raft of Canadian products (many of which are CUSMA compliant), is a certainty without a 'deal', despite the fact that the authorizing authority for them (the Smoot-Harwley Tariff Act) is a questionable one that could be fought via complaint mechanisms. Many 'authorities' have warned of the dire consequences of walking away from these negotiations.

“If we do decide to keep fighting, it’s because ultimately the deal wasn’t good for Canada,” said the official, “but the truth of the matter is, (Kinew) is not saying how he would deal with the 56,000 jobs and the $28 billion worth of goods that would have been impacted.”

The official added “part of the realistic world” the Carney government is looking at is that the latest tariffs would hit five per cent of trade now “and if we lose CUSMA entirely, it’s 85 per cent of trade” that could be affected.

This amputation of elbows up will lead to nothing good. The lack of shared details from the Canadian side is telling, in that they do not want us to know other aspects of the deal until it has been finalized.These details apparently include, in addition to restocking our shelves with their alcohol, U.S. demands that

Buy Canadian procurement programs [be terminated]; that Ottawa lift retaliatory tariffs on U.S. autos; and that the system for allocating licences under dairy supply management be changed.

Washington also demanded that Ottawa complete its purchase of F-35 fighter jets from American defence contractor Lockheed Martin; buy American military hardware as part of joining the Golden Dome missile defence system; grant the U.S. right of first refusal in buying critical minerals from Canada; and increase the country’s oil exports to the U.S.

Essentially, the above seems to mean that the Americans will be given almost exclusive access to our critical minerals,

So what do we get in return? Lower tariffs on aluminum, steel and autos, but those lower rates will not help the car industry.

 Lana Payne, the head of Canada’s largest private-sector union, criticized the idea of agreeing to exempt only U.S. content from Mr. Trump’s tariffs and not auto parts made in Canada and Mexico.

“Agreeing to the U.S. auto carveout is very concerning as it will impact what we build in Canada and our competitiveness,” said Ms. Payne, president of Unifor, which represents 40,000 Canadian auto industry workers. “My concern is also how this carveout is viewed when we get to the CUSMA table and is seen as a precedent for those talks undermining jobs in this country.”

Oh, and the other thing we get is America's ongoing contempt for us and our weakness. 

At a private fundraiser in Southampton, N.Y. this week, Mr. Vance described Mr. Carney as a “very sweet guy,” but mocked his efforts to get a better deal from Mr. Trump.

Mr. Carney “comes in and puffs his chest out and says, ‘I’m going to, like, out-tough Donald Trump,’ ” Mr. Vance said in a recording of the speech obtained by The Canadian Press. “It’s hilarious because Carney presents this as some victory for Canada when fundamentally, like, they climb down on a lot of issues.”

Canadians are not mushrooms to be kept in the dark. Perhaps when the light finally emerges, the best political epitaph for Mark Carney and his array of appeasers is this one: "They promised much but delivered almost nothing. "

 

 

 

UPDATED: It Doesn't Sound Good

 

Given the scarcity of information surrounding the putative trade deal between Canada and the U.S., I can only rely on my gut in this post. From what I have read, it sounds to me like Canada has folded once more rather than confront the U.S. and its trade aggression against our country. The Globe and Mail reports Dominic LeBlanc as saying that Canada 

protected supply management, but he didn’t respond when asked about the result of negotiations to lower sectoral tariffs levelled under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962.

American trade envoy Jamieson Greer,  

said on social media that the deal includes “market access for all American goods, economic security commitments, digital trade alignment.”

I smell capitulation here. In any event, if the deal is as bad of a sellout as I suspect it is, clearly our negotiating team cares not a whit for Canadian public opinion, which has expressed real vehemence against a bad deal. Here are some letters from The Star that express that view. 

Canada needs to stop trying to appease Trump and finally call his bluff on tariffs, Aug. 15

Thank you to Star business columnist David Olive.

It’s about time someone spelled it out in plain language: Canada should not be looking to make a deal. President Donald Trump is in trouble, and all we need to do is wait him out.

It has been clear from the beginning that Trump’s tariffs hurt the American consumer. The numbers David Olives quote clearly reflect Canada’s superior economic performance on many fronts, — our lower inflation, better job creation, stock market performance and foreign investment.

It’s time Canadian Trade Minister Dominic LeBlanc takes notice of public sentiment. Either the Americans stand down or we stand up and walk away. Let Trump and his minions look elsewhere for a solution to the disaster of their making.

The Canadian public needs a show of strength and resolve.

We don’t need more concessions.

Enough is enough.

Phil Warne, Pickering

It’s time for Carney and Co. to put a stop to the bullying

The U.S. is putting pressure on Canada with tariff threats. It puts a great deal of pressure on Prime Minister Mark Carney.

However, our prime minister cannot put pressure on ordinary Canadians and he must not force us to buy American products.

It’s down to Canadian customers. So let’s join together and tell Trump and his like to take a hike and show them what civilized refusal to bullying looks likes.

Ajit Zacharias, Newcastle, Ont.

Canada must stop making concessions because now it’s expected by Trump

David Olive makes the useful observation Canada has more leverage than it has so far chosen to exercise.

The deeper problem is habitual. For years, the Canadian approach has resembled a man who keeps feeding the same raccoon ever-larger sandwiches in the hope it will eventually develop manners and leave the porch.

When one side makes clear that almost any concession is preferable to friction, the other has every incentive to keep raising the price. Unused leverage decays quickly. At some point, the polite posture is clearly a nervous tic.

David Woodard, Tampere, Finland

Why shouldn’t Canada push back on U.S. tariffs? What have we got to lose?

Why have we not heard from our federal government regarding the inclusion of an export tax on critical items the United States needs? Potash, electricity, aluminum, B.C. soft lumber, critical minerals come to mind.

We have seen conciliatory moves have only been viewed by the U.S. as weakness.

It has appeared, since the first tariffs were imposed upon Canada, our government has been in a reactive stance as opposed to taking the initiative and using all of our tools available to meet the U.S. as an equal at any negotiating table.

If they squeeze us, then we should be squeezing back.

And as a shoutout to support our Canadian journalists, our government needs to bring back the Digital Services Tax.

Eric Edelsward, Mississauga

As they say, more to come, but if our negotiators have sold us out, I would not be voting for the Liberals in any of the three upcoming by elections if I lived in one of those ridings. Our 'leaders' should be aware that there is more than one way for people to express their strongly-held views.

UPDATE: This sounds like a big ask of the provinces:

Nova Scotia Premier Tim Houston says Prime Minister Mark Carney has asked provinces to restock American alcohol on their shelves as Canada finalizes a trade deal with the U.S. 

From the information I have been able to glean from the media, softwood lumber tariff reductions seem unlikely. If that is the case, I don't see how B.C. Premier David Eby could acquiesce in the restocking of American alcohol and have any political credibility left. 

UPDATED: Keep Calm And Carry On

That's the advice of Justin Ling as as the deadline for Trump's new set of punitive tariffs fast approaches, and that strikes me as eminently wise, for any number of reasons:

The Americans are apparently still demanding we join Trump’s half-baked Golden Dome missile defence system, ditch our made-in-Canada procurement rules and get back to the business of buying almost exclusively American military hardware. Each should be a firm red line for us.

[W]ere the prime minister to brief the public about where things are at, I think he would find that most Canadians are ready to say: no deal.

Stubborn and prideful though it may be, it’s the right move. We are just three months from the U.S. midterm elections, which Trump has, thus far, failed to rig in his favour. If the Democrats can regain control of Congress, it will put Trump’s ability to levy tariffs in considerable doubt.

As well, we know, along with the rest of the world, that Trump's signature on a deal means nothing.

... Trump uses tariffs as a means of extortion — and after he’s successfully extorted his victims, we know he keeps the tariffs in place anyway.

Indeed, even the right-wing press is taking a hard line on these 'negotiations'. The National Post's Kelly McParland writes that talks with Trump are pointless.

Whatever the temporary pain, Canada would be far better off in the long run avoiding any sort of agreement that lets Washington claim the slightest victory in its attempt to bully concessions out of Ottawa.

Better to walk away, let the White House do its worst and deal with the consequences. That will inevitably be the result under this administration in any case.

If the reports are true, Washington is essentially demanding a surrender of our sovereignty:

special rights to Canadian minerals, required purchases of U.S. technologies, guaranteed access to Canadian resources, all of which represent a surrender of Canada’s right to do as it pleases with its assets.

Now’s as good a time as any to inform Washington Canada is uninterested in further pointless discussions, and let ordinary Americans get back to bearing the brunt of their president’s expensive obsession.

As I have written before on this blog, the national mood is one of defiance and anger, as well it should be. Mark Carney's government will also soon be facing three byelections, events that should give him pause if he is tempted to continue down the path of appeasement that has yielded nothing but more outrageous demands from Trump.  

Sometimes, the voice of the people demands to be heard and heeded.

UPDATE: And on the topic of the voice of the people, here's one that speaks for me:

Enough capitulation. The time is now to stand up to Trump

A clear message for Carney: Canadians will not tolerate any more concessions to Trump, Aug. 14

I am fed up with Prime Minister Mark Carney knuckling under to U.S. demands.

Enough is enough.

Now he’s telling Canadians to prepare to put U.S. liquor back on the shelves. No more. If Trump continues with his nonsense, then let’s play our ‘trump’ cards: electricity, steel, aluminum, fertilizer, lumber and oil. The U.S. is in dire need of all our resources, whether they want to admit it or not.

We need to get all the key players together who represent these resources and come up with a game plan.

Regardless of what Trump says, the American president is under pressure from major industries to keep CUSMA in place.

Premiers, put your money where your mouth is and stand up to Trump.

Larry Snow, Oakville